Analyzing Bayern's Situation
If there's a rumor about Bayern selling Kane for Lewa, the chances seem very low. A few factors come into play:
First, sporting matters like having a new coach, Vincent Kompany, who is likely building the team around Kane’s strengths. Then there’s financial reality; Kane's transfer was about €100m with high wages, and Bayern's recent investments make a quick sale unlikely.
Additionally, Kane represents the club's brand, so selling him could damage their reputation. There are edge cases, though, if he insists on leaving for the Premier League or if Barca considers offloading Lewa.Evaluating Transfer Possibilities
Wages are still a significant concern. My conclusion is that Bayern agreeing to a swap or bringing Lewa back is extremely unlikely. They'll only consider selling Kane if an absurd offer comes in and a suitable replacement is already lined up, which is just not probable.
It might be useful to ask a follow-up question to clarify: Which rumor are we discussing? Is it about the swap, Lewa returning, or Kane leaving for the Premier League? Let's keep it short and structured.
短答：大概率不会。
原因简析
- 现实情况：凯恩已在拜仁，是建队核心与进球保障；莱万在巴萨，高薪高龄（回归或互换几乎不现实）。
- 竞技层面：拜仁当下体系围绕凯恩，换走他会引发连锁重建；引回莱万会叠位、年龄结构不优。
- 财务层面：拜仁为凯恩投入转会与薪资，短期出售/互换既亏竞技也亏账面；莱万薪资与潜在转会费不匹配拜仁当前引援思路。
- 更衣室与品牌：凯恩是项目门面，轻易放人代价巨大。
- 仅有的例外：只有在“球员强烈要求离队 + 天价报价 + 顶级替代者已锁定”的三件套同时满足时，拜仁才可能松口；现实概率很低。
如果你指的是具体传闻（比如莱万回归、凯恩去英超/皇马、或两人互换），说下版本，我可以按合同年限、财务与战术适配给你更精确的概率区间。